Project MOD-COV (Modelling of the hOspital Dissemination of SARS-CoV-2)
In the context of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, healthcare institutions are confronted to major challenges. First the community spread is leading to a large demand in available beds and to a saturation in hospitals dedicated to COVID-19 patients, particularly in intensive care units. Second, the outbreak and its managements are causing a large-scale disorganization of the entire healthcare system. Third, healthcare settings have been shown to be hotspots of transmission of coronaviruses, notably due to the high density of contacts.
The aim of project MOD-COV is to address the risk associated with SARS-CoV-2 nosocomial transmission and support its dissemination control in health care settings. To do so, we adapt already developed models by our team in order to provide, in the short term, simulation analyses to support health care organisation and the implementation of measures to control SARS-CoV-2 dissemination in both acute-care and long-term care, for patients and healthcare workers. The models we will develop will also allow, in the medium term, to better understand the epidemic characteristics of this virus in these specific environments and to assess a posteriori the global impact of the disorganization caused by the current epidemic, thus providing useful tools and procedures that can be used directly for future outbreaks.
– Conservatoire National des arts et métiers
– AVIESAN/REACTING working group “modelling SARS-Cov-2 dissemination in health care settings”
Funding : ANR, Univ Paris Saclay