Link to Pubmed [PMID] – 32053479
Link to DOI – 10.3201/eid2605.200146
Emerg Infect Dis 2020 05; 26(5): 1049-1052
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.