Link to Pubmed [PMID] – 31742509
Link to DOI – 10.3201/eid2512.181193
Emerg Infect Dis 2019 12; 25(12): 2281-2283
In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May-October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients.