Link to Pubmed [PMID] – 32511457
Link to DOI – 2020.01.28.2001929910.1101/2020.01.28.20019299
medRxiv 2020 Feb; ():
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain an emerging coronavirus (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 cities in China before the quarantine. The expected risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas of China.