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© Research
Publication : medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China.

Scientific Fields
Diseases
Organisms
Applications
Technique

Published in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences - 06 Mar 2020

Kraemer MUG, Yang CH, Gutierrez B, Wu CH, Klein B, Pigott DM, , du Plessis L, Faria NR, Li R, Hanage WP, Brownstein JS, Layan M, Vespignani A, Tian H, Dye C, Cauchemez S, Pybus OG, Scarpino SV,

Link to Pubmed [PMID] – 32511452

Link to DOI – 2020.03.02.2002670810.1101/2020.03.02.20026708

medRxiv 2020 Mar; ():

The ongoing COVID-19 outbreak has expanded rapidly throughout China. Major behavioral, clinical, and state interventions are underway currently to mitigate the epidemic and prevent the persistence of the virus in human populations in China and worldwide. It remains unclear how these unprecedented interventions, including travel restrictions, have affected COVID-19 spread in China. We use real-time mobility data from Wuhan and detailed case data including travel history to elucidate the role of case importation on transmission in cities across China and ascertain the impact of control measures. Early on, the spatial distribution of COVID-19 cases in China was well explained by human mobility data. Following the implementation of control measures, this correlation dropped and growth rates became negative in most locations, although shifts in the demographics of reported cases are still indicative of local chains of transmission outside Wuhan. This study shows that the drastic control measures implemented in China have substantially mitigated the spread of COVID-19.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32511452